David Spiegelhalter
1 min readMar 22, 2020

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sorry, your count of 116 seems to assume 700 in every decade. And the average mortality rate from the Imperial paper is around 1%. But I agree that the Diamond Princess’s fairly elderly population seemed to have a lower mortality rate than generally quoted.

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David Spiegelhalter
David Spiegelhalter

Written by David Spiegelhalter

Statistician, communicator about evidence, risk, probability, chance, uncertainty, etc. Chair, Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication, Cambridge.

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